基于可视化交互的国动指挥所设计

国防动员的指挥控制中大量的信息数据(如部队需求、地方资源)和错综复杂的多方关系,使得指挥员难以在短时间内从浩如烟海的信息中提取有用的决策信息和作出快速准确地指挥协调。为此,着眼未来指挥所的发展趋势,提出基于可视化交互的国动指挥所设计方法:通过分析国动指挥任务的关键路径,提取重要的决策信息,利用可视化交互技术,实现对国动任务的信息化指挥控制。以某部演习的国防动员指挥为例,验证了方法的可行性和有效性。     

A trajectory for homeland ballistic missile defense

The Ground-based Midcourse Defense system is intended to protect the US homeland against limited attacks from intermediate- and long-range ballistic missiles. It has succeeded in intercepting target missiles and can engage a threat launched from North Korea or the Middle East, targeting any point in the USA. Nevertheless, high-profile struggles and program changes related to homeland ballistic missile defense (BMD) continue to make headlines. The most significant struggle has been a string of three straight intercept test failures over five years, followed by the recent successful intercept test in June 2014. This article first briefly reviews the current threats of concern. It then examines homeland BMD policy objectives, followed by the current major technical issues in supporting these objectives and, then, the likelihood of negating a warhead. Finally, it highlights major considerations that should be part of the trajectory the US government takes moving forward.     

From rivals to partners: AirSea Battle and the US air force–navy relationship

AirSea Battle (ASB) has generated significant publicity, controversy, and debate among scholars, analysts, commentators, and observers of US defense strategy. However, a research gap exists concerning formal analysis of the impact of the operational concept on the relationship between the US Air Force (USAF) and the US Navy (USN). The impact of the ASB operational concept on the USAF–USN relationship is examined across the issue areas of strategy, budgets, weapons procurement, and training. These four issue areas represent important areas of historical conflict and competition between the Air Force and Navy. The conclusion is that ASB is ushering in a new era of Air Force–Navy partnership that advances the inter-service dynamic from “jointness” toward integration. The emergent USAF–USN partnership therefore represents a significant development in US defense politics and defense strategy.     

韩国军事改革探析

韩国自20世纪80年代以来积极推进系统性军事改革,特别是卢武铉政府的《国防改革基本计划2006-2020》,充分吸收先前改革经验教训,通过法制化实现了此后历届政府的继承与坚持,引领着韩军当前及未来的建设方向。韩国当前军事改革在主动适应国际新军事变革发展潮流的同时,充分结合自身实际,在作战思想、指挥体系、编制体制、国防管理等各领域均表现出较强的针对性,致力于实现部队的减员增效和均衡发展,推动自主国防建设,提升应对朝鲜军事威胁的能力。同时,韩军在改革过程中,也暴露作战能力受到质疑、军费预算跟进不足,兵源难以为继等系列问题,成为影响韩国军事改革实施进度和最终成效的不确定因素。     

基于三维科研态势演化图谱的国防科技发展评估

当前随着信息技术的深入发展,大数据时代已经悄然而至。大数据为国防科技发展带来了重大机遇的同时,其所带来"数据眩晕"和"数据冗余"效应不容忽视。面对大数据对国防科技发展所带来的巨大挑战,准确、快速、实时地把握和预测科研发展态势,已经成为科研工作者和科研管理高层决策者的迫切需要。在对传统科学知识图谱深入研究的基础上,本文提出一种基于网络和单词分布式嵌入的三维态势演化图谱模型,模型充分利用了文献中的结构信息和语义信息,并对结果进行可视化展示,实验表明,该方法对于掌握国防科技发展动向,挖掘技术前沿,把握技术机会,促进国防科技发展具有较大的参考价值。     

湖南国防科技工业军民融合深度发展研究

推动军民融合深度发展,是党的十八届三中全会提出的明确要求,也是当前和今后一段时期国防科技工业一项重大战略任务。作为传统的制造业大省和军工大省,湖南省推动军民融合已具备较好的"产学研"基础。为促进湖南国防科技工业军民融合深度发展,紧贴制造强省战略,分析了湖南国防科技工业军民融合深度发展面临的形势要求,阐述了湖南国防科技工业军民融合深度发展的重点领域,给出了推动湖南国防科技工业军民融合深度发展的有效途径。     

Missile defense and strategic stability: Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) in South Korea

South Korea is threatened by its troubled relationship with North Korea. North Korea possesses a large cache of missiles as well as chemical and biological weapons, and the future potential to mount nuclear weapons on its missiles. The United States is also challenged because of its defense commitments to Seoul. As a countermeasure, the United States and South Korea decided to deploy Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missile defenses in South Korea. However, China has objected. Chinese scholars believe the THAAD radar would be able to track Chinese inter-continental ballistic missiles, thereby weakening their deterrent. A technical analysis does not support this assertion. However, it is vital for South Korea, given its proximity and economic interdependence, to reassure China. South Korea should highlight that THAAD will be deployed by the United States Forces Korea and is not a commitment by Seoul to become part of U.S.-led missile defenses in the Asia-Pacific.     

预算视角下美国防建设特点及战略研判

作为国防和装备建设的关键要素,美国防预算是其国家政策和国防战略调整变化的直接"晴雨表",装备预算是表征美装备建设方向重点和资源投向投量的基本指标。本文对美国2001至2016财年国防预算和装备预算数据进行了归集整理。从国防部预算、装备预算、各军种装备预算等多个层面,以及预算性质、预算阶段、预算类别等多个维度进行分析,描绘了美国防预算的基本情况;总结了美国防预算的特点规律;并结合多源情报信息,对战略分析结论进行了综合研判。     

推进国防动员军民融合深度发展的对策思考

军民融合式发展是实现富国与强军相统一的必由之路,也是增强国防动员潜力、提高国防动员能力的有效途径。在新的形势下推进国防动员建设,必须进一步强化军民融合观念,完善军民融合机制,提高军民融合层次,增强军民融合实效,努力促进动员潜力随经济实力同步增长、动员能力随需求拓展不断提升,实现经济效益、社会效益与国防效益有机统一。     

量子保密通信技术前沿述评

量子保密通信是利用量子力学的基本原理来实现信息无条件安全传递的一种全新密码方法,其核心是量子密钥分发。2014年正好是量子保密通信的第一个协议—BB84协议提出30周年。经过30年的发展,量子保密通信在理论和实验上都得到了快速发展,实际工程应用也初具规模。文章对量子保密通信的历史发展及研究现状进行了简要回顾,特别介绍了基于实际量子保密通信系统的量子黑客和防御。最后,对未来的几个研究方向进行了简要讨论。